Sitemap - 2024 - The Future, Now and Then

The Future, Now and Then: 2024 in review

Weighing in on Casey Newton's "AI is fake and sucks" debate

Bitcoin is worth $100,000. It still doesn't have a single legitimate use case

UNCOUTH.

Charting the path forward: Some things that won't work anymore, and a few that might.

Bluesky as the Ship of Theseus

Don't expect the tech platforms to help us this time.

What the future looks like from here.

A suggestion for the Washington Post's new motto: "Obey in Advance"

Thirteen days to go: Gut-checks and campaign dynamics

Turns out the "October Surprise" is crime

On "Trusting the Data" and the specter of AI-induced decision paralysis

Bullet Points: Techbros-telling-stories edition

JD Vance couldn't *quite* gaslight the audience for the full 90 minutes.

The climate movement really does not need Yascha Mounk's advice

What Nate Silver gets wrong about risk

Paul Graham and the Cult of the Founder

Kamala Harris could do this all day

How do you solve a problem like Claremont?

What is the Claremont Institute doing back at APSA?

Tim Walz. Hell yeah.

Why 'You're Being Weird' Works So Well

Why the "Open Convention" proposal only appeals to Op-Ed columnists.

A Campaign Reset

What The Campaign Is For

Bullet Points: Ideological Axe-Grinding

A Supreme Court Decision with a Body Count

Debate notes

What's in a name? "AI" versus "Machine Learning"

[REPOST] Will the climate crisis be a boon for authoritarians?

The Republican Party has belonged to Trump for a long time

Keeping Up with the Collinses

Bullet Points: Internet Time ain't what it used to be.

What Elon Musk's favorite game tells us about him

The only thing university administrators had to do was NOTHING.

Civil War (the movie) is a blunt object.

On giant piles of cash, and their origins

On AI agents: how are these digital butlers supposed to get paid?

Some Personal News

A Memo to OpenAI: You Are Not the Protagonists

Are large language models on the trajectory of word processing or digital advertising?

The Gravitational Force of Tech Money

The State of the Union, and the shape of the Presidential race

Read Write Own, Reviewed

Paul Graham, proto-techbro.

Bullet Points: On Bluesky, the Vision Pro Jackpot, and the Quiet Period before the Election

Old Gambler Yells at Clouds

What Should We Have Learned from the Collapse of the New Economy (1998-2000)?

Dumb Money Squared

The myth of technological inevitability

What we talk about when we talk about The Future

Bullet Points: OpenAI looks for its FarmVille, 90s tech nostalgia, and more on the Substack drama

"One Weird Trick" for effective strategic political communication campaigns

Silicon Valley runs on Futurity

Bullet Points: A couple predictions for AI in 2024