The Future, Now and Then

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Civil War (the movie) is a blunt object.
And the bluntness is the point.
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Dave Karpf
41
On giant piles of cash, and their origins
The trouble with venture capital is that it has gotten too big.
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Dave Karpf
13
On AI agents: how are these digital butlers supposed to get paid?
FILE UNDER: the trajectory of any new technology bends toward money.
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Dave Karpf
30
Some Personal News
"Why the Future Never Arrives" has a publisher!
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Dave Karpf
11

March 2024

A Memo to OpenAI: You Are Not the Protagonists
Bury their new Voice Engine program in an unmarked grave
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Dave Karpf
35
Are large language models on the trajectory of word processing or digital advertising?
(In which Dave stumbles upon another analogy.)
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Dave Karpf
12
The Gravitational Force of Tech Money
The main story of the post-techlash years has been too few people with too much capital
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Dave Karpf
27
The State of the Union, and the shape of the Presidential race
I thought Biden’s State of the Union address last night was excellent. He was sharp. He was feisty. And he gave a clear signal of what his reelection…
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Dave Karpf
21

February 2024

Read Write Own, Reviewed
Chris Dixon's Read Write Own has a few problems. And the biggest problem is Dixon himself.
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Dave Karpf
13
Paul Graham, proto-techbro.
What a 2004 Paul Graham essay tells us about how the culture of Silicon Valley has changed.
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Dave Karpf
7
Bullet Points: On Bluesky, the Vision Pro Jackpot, and the Quiet Period before the Election
(Plus, a bonus take - Bill Ackman is an insufferable dweeb)
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Dave Karpf
19
Old Gambler Yells at Clouds
Or, why I think we were better off in the shady days before DraftKings and FanDuel
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Dave Karpf
13
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