If you'll indulge me briefly I posted a Substack Note on a similar topic which I think applies here:
There seems to be little downside for publicly making predictions regardless of how good they are as long as you keep track of the times you were right. Failing that, track the times that you were almost right. Failing that, have semi-plausible excuses for why you were wrong
Honestly, there doesn’t seem to be any downside as long as you make enough public predictions.
Eventually the point of predictions and silly bets like this are not to help anyone except the person who's doing all of the blustering and woe to those who have disengaged their common sense and critical thinking facilities.
I agree he’s a fool but he’s also a grifter because everyone in 2023 is. He’s trying to pump bitcoin. Everything he does is trying to pump bitcoin.
If you'll indulge me briefly I posted a Substack Note on a similar topic which I think applies here:
There seems to be little downside for publicly making predictions regardless of how good they are as long as you keep track of the times you were right. Failing that, track the times that you were almost right. Failing that, have semi-plausible excuses for why you were wrong
Honestly, there doesn’t seem to be any downside as long as you make enough public predictions.
Eventually the point of predictions and silly bets like this are not to help anyone except the person who's doing all of the blustering and woe to those who have disengaged their common sense and critical thinking facilities.